Games of chance are all good fun. Would you believe that almost any board game that you play is, in fact, a game of chance – at least the games you play using dice are. The dice rolls are random and in games such as snakes and ladders, the winner is whoever is fortunate enough to roll the highest amount of number in total over the entire course of a game.
It is great if you have an understanding of how variation and probability work so you can reasonably predict when you will win. Now if you are playing games such as monopoly, then there is some ‘chance’ involved in the game, but also tactics play their part because you have to manage your money and properties in a strategic was. The rest of the game, whether someone lands on your property with a hotel, is purely down to chance.
In other games like backgammon, you can employ a strategy that helps you win more games. Now even though backgammon is a game of chance because you are rolling the dice still. There is a huge element of luck involved. That said if you understand probability and variation, then you will be able to predict when you will win and when you will lose.
It is not an exact science as in you will not be able to say “OK I will win the next game”. On the other hand, you will be able to predict when you are more likely to win a game.
How Do I Predict When I am More Likely To Win a Game?
You need to read up on how variance affects probability. For instance, if you roll a dice, then the number 6 is likely to come up 1 out of 6 times. So you get yourdice and roll it expecting 6 to come up. After 20 rolls it comes up. Why is that happening when probability says that the chance of the number 6 appearing 1 to 6 or at least a 17% chance.
This is because variation has played its part in the game. Yourill the dice 5 times and the number 6 comes up 4 out of 5 times. Now after 25 rolls the 6 has appeared 4 times. You would have been able to reasonably predict that the number 6 was going to appear at some point. This is because variance has affected probability, but you know the number 6 should appear at some point.
In fact, it is impossible that the 6 isn’t going to show up at some point. Want to know more about games of chance? There is a very good website that talks about games of chance and how to apply strategy to the games of chance. You can see their blog here.
You can learn about system people use in games of chance and much more about a variety of games played around the world.